[SystemSafety] How Many Miles of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Reliability?

[Matthew Squair]

Sure, making a bunch of assumptions. 

But I'd personally be comfortable after a couple of months of realistic road trials. 

Matthew Squair

MIEAust, CPEng
Mob: +61 488770655
Email; Mattsquair at gmail.com
Web: http://criticaluncertainties.com

> On 18 Apr 2016, at 5:54 PM, Martyn Thomas <martyn at thomas-associates.co.uk> wrote:
> 
>> On 18/04/2016 08:25, Peter Bishop wrote:
>> According to the Rand graph, we would need 1 million miles for a 95%
>> confidence that the driverless car crash rate is a least as good as a
>> driven one.
>> i.e. a fleet of 100 cars driving 10000 miles each for one year.
> 
> 
> ... under the same range and frequency of conditions as the comparable
> fleet with human drivers.
> 
> Martyn
> 
> _______________________________________________
> The System Safety Mailing List
> systemsafety at TechFak.Uni-Bielefeld.DE
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://lists.techfak.uni-bielefeld.de/mailman/private/systemsafety/attachments/20160418/146b8fb0/attachment.html>